Denver vs. Houston Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets - Sunday, November 12, 2023 - Betsperts (2024)

The Denver Nuggets (8-1) bring a four-game winning streak into a road contest versus the Houston Rockets (5-3), winners of five straight.

The Nuggets head into their matchup against the Rockets as a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup’s point total is set at 216.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds

Point Spread for Nuggets vs. Rockets

The spread for this matchup is set at 4.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Nuggets as the favorite.

Denver vs. Houston Moneyline

As for the moneyline, Denver has -185 odds to win the game, while Houston is listed at +154 to claim victory.

Over/Under

Finally, the over/under for the game is set at 216 points.

Game Time and How to Watch

• When: Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
• Where: Toyota Center in Houston, Texas
• TV: Spac

Nuggets vs. Rockets Betting Trends

The Nuggets are 5-4-0 against the spread this season. Denver has won eight of the nine games it has played as the favorite this season. Games involving the Nuggets have hit the over three times out of eight chances this season.

The Rockets have covered the spread four times over eight games with a set spread. Houston has been an underdog in six games this season and has come away with the win three times (50%) in those contests. This year, Rockets games have hit the over three times.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Key Players to Watch

Nuggets

Nikola Jokic averages 26.3 points, 13.0 boards and 7.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.7 blocks. Michael Porter Jr.’s numbers on the season are 13.7 points, 2.3 assists and 11.3 boards per game. Jamal Murray is putting up 20.7 points, 6.3 assists and 1.7 boards per contest. Aaron Gordon’s numbers for the season are 11.3 points, 4.0 boards and 3.3 assists per contest, shooting 55.2% from the field.

Rockets

Alperen Sengun’s averages for the season are 19.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 6.7 assists, making 54.5% of his shots from the field. Fred VanVleet contributes with 15.3 points per game, plus 3.0 boards and 7.0 assists. Jalen Green provides the Rockets 17.7 points, 5.0 boards and 1.7 assists per contest, plus 0.3 steals and 0.7 blocks. Jabari Smith Jr. gives the Rockets 11.3 points, 7.3 boards and 2.0 assists per game, plus 1.3 steals and 0.0 blocks.

What you need to know about the Nuggets

The Nuggets are averaging 116.0 points per game this year (ninth-ranked in NBA), but they’ve really thrived on defense, giving up just 106.0 points per contest (third-best). With 41.9 rebounds allowed per game, the Nuggets rank fifth-best in the league. They rank 14th in the league by pulling down 45.1 rebounds per contest. With 30.0 dimes per game, the Nuggets are second-best in the league in the category.

This season, Denver is sinking 12.1 three-pointers per game (17th-ranked in NBA) and is shooting 36.5% (12th-ranked) from downtown. Denver is thriving in terms of defending against three-pointers, as it ranks third-best in the league in three-pointers allowed (10.3 per game) and third-best in three-point percentage allowed (32.6%).

What you need to know about the Rockets

In 2023-24, the Rockets are 18th in the league on offense (111.5 points scored per game) and third-best on defense (106.0 points conceded). Houston grabs 43.1 rebounds per game and concede 44.1 boards, ranking 20th and 14th, respectively, in the NBA. The Rockets are 12th in the NBA in assists (26.0 per game) in 2023-24.

Beyond the arc, the Rockets are 13th in the NBA in 3-pointers made per game (12.8). They are fifth-best in 3-point percentage at 37.6%. Defensively, Houston is eighth in the league in 3-pointers conceded per game at 11.4. It is third-best in 3-point percentage conceded at 32.6%.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction & Pick

Our pick to win this contest is Nuggets, and we project that Rockets will cover the spread (Nuggets -4.5). Finally, we see the scoring in this one going over the posted total of 216 points.

How to bet Nuggets vs. Rockets

You can bet on Denver vs. Houston at every legal online sportsbook. For more college basketball odds, including moneylines, spreads, over/under totals, check out the latest NCAA lines as well as our guide to the best college basketball betting sites.

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